GOOD “STRATEGERY?” OR A SIGN OF WEAKNESS?
|| By FITSNEWS || Establishment “Republican” frontrunner Jeb Bush could skip the 2016 Iowa “Republican’ Caucus and focus his initial 2016 efforts exclusively on early-voting New Hampshire and South Carolina, a new report suggests.
According to Buzzfeed‘s McKay Coppins, Bush “does not plan to seriously contest the first-in-the-nation caucuses – and may ultimately skip the state altogether.”
However Coppins’ own story quotes a ranking Bush advisor as saying “nobody with any shred of authority or proximity to (governor) Bush (is) suggesting that, should he decide to run for president, he skip or ignore Iowa.”
Bush has yet to formally announce his presidential campaign, although “First in the South” polls in the Palmetto State have shown him to be among the top two early favorites. In New Hampshire, Bush is also at or near the top of the polls – including a survey released last week by WMUR TV 9 (ABC – Manchester, N.H.).
In Iowa, however, an early May Quinnipiac University survey showed Bush in seventh place with only five percent of the state’s likely GOP caucus-goers supporting him. Bush also announced earlier this week his intention to skip the summer straw poll in Iowa – an event which has previously served to help narrow the GOP field.
Oh, and inflate candidates like this …
This website has consistently opposed Bush’s candidacy … although we did praise him for his support of academic freedom. And for his recent rebuke of a crony capitalist slush fund (one supported by so-called “conservative” Mark Sanford).
Is skipping Iowa a good idea politically?
Well, the Hawkeye State has picked social conservatives in back-to-back cycles – Mike Huckabee in 2008 and Rick Santorum in 2012 – and with Bush languishing in the polls, it makes little sense to expend considerable effort on a state he’s unlikely to even come close to winning.
According to Coppins, Bush’s advisors “believe he can afford to perform poorly in Iowa as long as a fifth-place finish isn’t covered in the media as a hard-fought defeat.”
These advisors say Bush’s supporters “would focus on a strong performance in New Hampshire, and save their resources for later primary contests, when many of the other contenders will be strapped for cash.”
That’s a gamble …
In fact, that’s the identical strategy pursued in 2012 by liberal “Republican” Jon Huntsman – who did not campaign in Iowa and then dropped out of the race following a third-place finish in New Hampshire.