National Politics - 2016

First In The South: Donald Trump Still Dominating

NEW POLL SHOWS TRUMP WITH 2-TO-1 LEAD IN SOUTH CAROLINA || By FITSNEWS ||  Two days before his latest visit to South Carolina, another poll is showing GOP presidential frontrunner Donald Trump with a commanding lead in the Palmetto State’s “First in the South” presidential primary. According to a new Monmouth…

NEW POLL SHOWS TRUMP WITH 2-TO-1 LEAD IN SOUTH CAROLINA

|| By FITSNEWS ||  Two days before his latest visit to South Carolina, another poll is showing GOP presidential frontrunner Donald Trump with a commanding lead in the Palmetto State’s “First in the South” presidential primary.

According to a new Monmouth University survey (.pdf here), Trump is the first choice of 30 percent of likely “Republican” primary voters in the Palmetto State – giving him a 2-to-1 advantage over retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, who is supported by 15 percent of likely primary-goers.

“Political experience is not a particularly valuable commodity this primary season,” Monmouth’s pollsters said, noting that 61 percent of respondents want “a president from outside of government who can bring a new approach to Washington” as opposed to only 28 percent who prefer “someone with government experience who knows how to get things done.”

Those voters overwhelmingly prefer “The Donald” – results consistent with other recent “First in the South” polling.

Of interest?  Trump leads the field in every ideological category, drawing 33 percent support from those voters who described themselves as “very conservative,” 31 percent from those who described themselves as “somewhat conservative” and 23 percent from those who described themselves as “moderate to liberal.”

That’s quite a cross-section of ideological support …

Other than Trump and Carson, no “Republican” candidate received more than ten percent of the vote.  The rest of the field consisted of former Florida governor Jeb Bush (9 percent), U.S. Senator Marco Rubio of Florida (6 percent), former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (6 percent), U.S. Senator Ted Cruz of Texas (5 percent) and Wisconsin governor Scott Walker (4 percent).

Prior to Trump’s meteoric rise, Bush and Walker were the early South Carolina frontrunners …

U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina also drew four percent in the survey, another embarrassing showing in his own backyard.

“It’s interesting that Ben Carson, whose parents come from neighboring Georgia, is outpolling the state’s own senator as a second choice,” Monmouth’s pollsters noted.

Meanwhile Ohio governor John Kasich, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee and U.S. Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky each drew three percent support.  None of the other six candidates in the race eclipsed the two percent threshold, while 11 percent of respondents said they were undecided.

For those of you keeping score at home, Monmouth surveyed 453 likely GOP primary voters from August 20-23 via telephone.  Its poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points.

What do we make of this data?

Well, since you asked, here’s an interesting take on it from our friends at Market Research Foundation (MRF).

“You’ve got 51 percent of the Palmetto State’s GOP electorate backing a candidate who has never held elected office,” MRF’s analysts’ noted.  “With 11 percent of the state’s primary voters undecided, that leaves the remaining fourteen candidates – all of whom have held elected office – fighting for 38 percent of the vote.”

That breakdown could shift even further in favor of the outsiders in the event the economy goes (further) south.

“As global economic headwinds intensify – further straining America’s already less-than-robust consumer ‘recovery’ – will the outsiders reap additional electoral benefits?  Or can any of the conventional candidates find a way to tap into the prevailing angst?” its analysts wondered.

Good questions … in fact the answers to those questions will likely to determine the eventual GOP nominee.

***

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28 comments

DNC August 25, 2015 at 9:57 am

You can do it SC! Trump/Nuts 2016!!!

Reply
? August 25, 2015 at 9:58 am

It was said that the Bush presidency brought on Obama. Is this early Trump supremacy thanks to the Marxist in Chief?

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Sic Semper Tyrannis August 25, 2015 at 10:01 am

Good point !

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RogueElephant August 25, 2015 at 10:46 am

It shows that Americans of all flavors are fed up with politics as usual. And lying politicians. Someone from the business world that can get things done is a welcome change from promises that are never followed up on. Trump is answering a need from the everyday people that it is time for a change.

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mamatiger92 August 25, 2015 at 11:04 am

if you think the business world isn’t political then you are fooling yourself.
Heck Trump was cozied up with the Clintons just a few years ago. Donated to their foundation. He is an immature, selfish, opportunist. Great for a business, probably not so great for the White House.

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mamatiger92 August 25, 2015 at 10:07 am

sounds about right

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Newt Gingrich August 25, 2015 at 10:08 am

These suckers will vote for any dumb clod that shouts enough dog whistles!

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Rocky Verdad August 25, 2015 at 10:52 am

Or shits a few dog whistles.

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Rocky Verdad August 25, 2015 at 10:33 am

All right. Let’s get out the liquid lightenin’ and spike the punch. Can’t wait for the Twitter feeds next time he’s liquored up. “@Haley is a horrible woman. I hear she’s a swinger while her state is overrun with illegals and doles out money to China. Disgracefull – The Donald”

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flip August 25, 2015 at 10:50 am

I told ya Trump doesn’t drink.I can’t believe you are repeating that.

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mamatiger92 August 25, 2015 at 10:52 am

kind of like calling someone a bimbo on Twitter

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euwe max August 25, 2015 at 12:51 pm

…or a twit

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Rocky Verdad August 25, 2015 at 10:52 am

And Obama don’t smoke.

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flip August 25, 2015 at 10:54 am

Ok Rocky.

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Sic Semper Tyrannis August 25, 2015 at 11:01 am

I kinda feel for ya, you need to change with the times. It was good then, I miss it too.

Trump 2016 August 25, 2015 at 10:35 am

What this poll tells us is that support for the immigrants in chief (Piyush “Bobby” Jindal, Raphael “Ted” Cruz, and Marco Antonio Rubio), and Koch puppets, Walker and Fiorina is collapsing fast. Americans want an American President. Not someone with roots in the third world. And they don’t want a puppet under the thumb of Koch.

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Hank August 25, 2015 at 10:47 am

Hey be careful, our Governor, Nimrata Nikki Randhawa Haley, is and anchor baby.

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dwb619 August 25, 2015 at 2:24 pm

NO, YOU DIDN’T!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
or
PREACH,BROTHER,PREACH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Feel the Bern August 25, 2015 at 10:42 am

Go Donald Go!

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Hillary Clinton August 25, 2015 at 12:50 pm

Nice try Bernie, but Donald works for me!

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Jackie Chiles August 25, 2015 at 10:50 am

Everyone Was Laughing and High-Fiving: The Presidency of Donald Trump

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Rocky Verdad August 25, 2015 at 11:26 am

(Says the man having a delusion)

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shifty henry August 25, 2015 at 11:30 am

“Senator Bluster, what’s the election today for?”

“Well, it is to determine whether we shall have a convention to nominate delegates who will be voted on as to whether they will attend a caucus which will decide whether we shall have a primary to determine whether the people want to vote on this same question again next year.”
——————————

Senator Bluster informs his staff that he is going to train his memory. “I don’t know what system to use, but I’m looking for one that will enable me, when I am interviewed, to remember what to forget.”

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Big Trump August 25, 2015 at 11:37 am

Dear Megyn,
I don’t know what go into me last night. I think, really, I was hurt that you did not invite me on your vacation. As you know, I’m hugely wealthy, hugely. But in the end, money isn’t the end all be all. I seek love, affection. And I find you highly attractive. I think that’s why I went so bonkers after the debate. What I really wanted to tell you was that I think you’re beautiful, and I love you. I want to be closer to you (descreetly of course so our spouses don’t find out). But I’ve always struggled with talking to “the ladies.” That’s why I’ve always chosen Eastern European women, they usually don’t speak English and it’s much easier. But you’re the true prize. Megyn, come with me to Aruba. I’m building a new hotel there, and will give you your own suite – call it a suite for the sweet. I’ll bath you in champagne, feed you cavier on little crackers and later, after the election, I’ll tweet to the world about our love. – Donny

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shifty henry August 27, 2015 at 8:47 am

that’s good!

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euwe max August 25, 2015 at 12:49 pm

The red joker is trump.

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Hypocrites August 25, 2015 at 12:55 pm

So people who hate loud-mouth northerners coming down here telling them how to do things is going to support the ultimate loud-mouth northerner who is going to come down here and tell them what to do? We live amongst a sea of desperate low-information voters.

Reply

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