National Politics - 2016

Jeb Bush Is The Best “Jobs Governor?”

ONE REPORT SAYS SO … || By FITSNEWS || As the global economic downturn complicates anemic economic growth at home, politicians promising big gains in the American economy ought to be viewed as highly suspect. Take establishment “Republican” frontrunner Jeb Bush, who is vowing to implement policies which will create…

ONE REPORT SAYS SO …

|| By FITSNEWS || As the global economic downturn complicates anemic economic growth at home, politicians promising big gains in the American economy ought to be viewed as highly suspect.

Take establishment “Republican” frontrunner Jeb Bush, who is vowing to implement policies which will create four percent annual growth in America’s gross domestic product.

Is that possible?

Well yeah … it could be.  You know, assuming Bush was serious about a radical reduction of government and a complete reorientation of its philosophy (a.k.a. incentivizing growth, not dependency).

Is he serious about either of those things?  So far … eh.  Not really.

His reform agenda is – as we’ve noted – “too little, too late.”

On its whole Bush’s “reform” agenda seems less about actually taking on “Mount Washington” – and more about providing political cover against the “Insider” rap.  No “Republican” candidate should be proposing half-measures at this critical juncture in America’s unraveling … least of all one named “Bush.”

As evidence of Bush’s supposed ability to achieve the economic growth he’s promising, National Review Online has published a report entitled “Judging the Governors.”

The report seeks to assess “the impact that a particular governor had on growth in the employment rate in his state, distinguishing that effect from the overall economy’s employment fluctuations and from the typical trajectory of employment fluctuations in the state.”

Its “big wiener?”

Bush …

(Click to enlarge)

jeb jobs

(Chart via)

From the NRO analysis …

…there is considerable variation in the “governor effect” on state employment levels. Not every governor generates results in the direction that he would have hoped; others enjoy bright track records.

Employment growth when Governor Jeb Bush was in office, for instance, tended to be about 4 percent higher per year than one would have predicted if the average Florida governor had been in office. Governor Perry has a similarly impressive record. (An asterisk on the chart next to a candidate’s name means that our result has passed a standard test of statistical significance: We are 95 percent sure that it was not a matter of chance.)

Those with negative effects should not be too dismayed. No single statistical analysis can provide a complete picture of a candidate’s record as governor. New Jersey was a basket case long before Chris Christie took over, and was on a fiscal path similar to that of Greece. He probably did more for the state than this picture shows, because what would have happened without him would have been so terrible.

Hmmmm …

NRO has been exceedingly friendly to establishment “Republicans,” so we’d take its insights with the proverbial ocean of salt.  We’re not saying the publication is wrong, just that it’s inclined to give fiscally liberal GOP politicians the benefit of the doubt.

Also as we’ve repeatedly stated, we would caution against using the unemployment rate as a reliable measure of the health of a state (or nation’s) labor market.   The labor participation rate and the employment-to-population ratio are far better indicators.

Oh, and obviously the 2016 GOP field isn’t confined to governors, so … keep that in mind.

***

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41 comments

Union Killers July 27, 2015 at 5:51 pm

Look at all those “jobs” Walker created by stabbing the unions! He sure did “save” Wisconsin, save them from being an example of how to run your state anyways!

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Bible Thumper July 27, 2015 at 6:00 pm

Unemployment was already lower in Wisconsin before he took office and his Labor participation rate was higher. A cold climate state is a difficult place to have job growth if you look at demographic trends. Texas and Florida are Southern high population growth states. Kasich’s performance in a rust belt state is interesting. I’m not sure it is fare to compare to typical governors of the state. One state may have had a lot better governors than another.

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Lone Ranger July 27, 2015 at 6:21 pm

The ah “Bible Thumper”–who would NOT know the Bible from Mein Kamph–has gotten back into that jug
He’s almost as corrupt and Back-Stabbin-Haley and I-Lie-To-Cons-Joe and a poster boy for these union thugs !!!

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Rocky July 28, 2015 at 8:04 am

Ok, well let’s see. Bible the story of a guy who the Jews kill by nailing him to a cross. Mein Kamph a guy who believes in the first guy, and gets revenge by killing 6 million Jews.

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Kansas July 27, 2015 at 6:04 pm

Hey! Don’t leave us out. Brownback and the republicans “saved” the shit out of us too. Got a quarter we can borrow?

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Dick Trickle July 27, 2015 at 5:56 pm

Hummmm, let me guess? Tax cuts for the rich?

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Buck Fush July 27, 2015 at 8:34 pm

This is the same guy who said Americans just need to work harder and longer. Spoken like a totally spoiled since birth, rich prick.

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Not again July 27, 2015 at 6:02 pm

The man is a Bush. Zero chance in 2016.

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No thanks July 27, 2015 at 6:06 pm

Jeb? Not voting for a guy who sounds like he eats squirrel for two out of three of his meals.

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Bill July 27, 2015 at 6:12 pm

Where is Trikki Nikki on that graph.

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Lone Ranger July 27, 2015 at 6:17 pm

Stay tuned for MORE Jeb ads from FELLOW RINO Will Folks—the punk’ll
be putting ‘em up daily

And of course be telling you how you should trash Southern
heritage and how he “slept with Haley !!! “

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Tonto July 27, 2015 at 7:16 pm

Dumb southerners do enough to trash their own ‘history and heritage’. Will can’t add anything new.

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Sic Semper Tyrannis July 27, 2015 at 7:57 pm

Get this; Thier DEAD heritage. Killed by a punk and a Indian !

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Walathever July 28, 2015 at 7:00 am

GET A BEST HOME140-CAREER 825.65$/day::: @1md10

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Lone Ranger July 29, 2015 at 6:43 pm

“Tonto” and “Sic” were two freeloading pricks who liked to bong in the Vista with Will
They didn’t value heritage or history or their GED and–yep–both are looking for it still !!!

Reply
Denying who they are July 27, 2015 at 8:56 pm

It’s been like that all along. FITSNews is a McCain-Graham RINO from way back. Any claims against that are merely an attempt to avoid association with the RINO’s failure. It’s the same reason the site decries liberals, while doing their bidding, constantly.

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:( July 27, 2015 at 6:54 pm

I used to enjoy life more when I associated bush with getting laid. Now I associate Bush with being anally penetrated- and because I’m not a gay porn star – it doesn’t excite me.

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You Clueless Bastard July 27, 2015 at 7:06 pm

FITSNews says: “As the global economic downturn complicates anemic economic growth at home”…

So it’s the Globe’s fault. Funny that the Globe went belly-up in late 2008, and has STAYED that way, as the US government has printed money like match sticks, and waged a war on coal, gas-drilling and nuclear. Along with attacking producers and families who have morals.

If you EVER wondered why we have such FUCKING idiots in the White House? When you have preachers so FUCKING stupid as the owners of this website, that’s your answer.

The economy was FUCKED by Obama and the Democrats. They care more about punishing their list of social enemies more than they give a shit if the people in America have jobs or not. You Fucking Dumbass.

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Jack July 27, 2015 at 7:41 pm

Did you ever get off Medicaid GT?

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Obama lied, Babies fried July 27, 2015 at 7:45 pm

There is no Medicaid, you fucking idiot. Obama LIED to you. the money is GONE, and so are the jobs of the people who used to prop Obama up.
And PLEASE bring GT back. I so enjoyed reading his posts. He was one of the few signs of intelligence on this liberal-infested site.

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Rocky July 27, 2015 at 9:51 pm

Oh it was f$(cked – but not by the Democrats. It took a GOP Congress and President to pull that off. You know why Jimmy Carter sends George W Bush a Christmas card every year? Because now Carter isn’t the worst President in modern history – George W Bush and the GOP were able to re-claim the title.

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Need intellectual REVOLUTION July 27, 2015 at 7:42 pm

Obama and the Democrats MUST be gone. Until that’s done, with BIG majorities in the GOP, we have very little hope of fixing the big mess the Democrats have made.
And even then it will take CRUSHING the media, and the carping little leftwing whiners who are used to forcing their hateful liberal dogma on the good people of this country.

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Jack July 27, 2015 at 7:43 pm

Still looking for an answer on that Medicaid GT. Are you still a taker? Am I still supporting your lazy ass?

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Gravy train rider July 27, 2015 at 7:47 pm

You don’t pay any Medicaid levy on a welfare check, or food stamps, Dumbass.

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Jack July 27, 2015 at 7:52 pm

Just as I suspected. Your are still cashing in on welfare benefits. You lazy POS. I am sick of supporting you. Find a damn job or get out and pick up trash on the highway for 8 hours a day. You are pathetic. Stop bitching when you have nothing to contribute.

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Beachtiger0412 July 27, 2015 at 8:13 pm

Huh???? When the republicans held presidency – unemployment skyrocketed and so did the debt that Clinton had balanced – how can you “claim” the Democrats made this mess – even after the republicans took control of congress absolutely NO work was accomplished.

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U Can't be THAT stupid July 27, 2015 at 8:35 pm

STFU you idiot. You’re a fucking moron if you believe that extreme Bullshit the Democrat Party feeds the ignorant bastards who empower their corruption and greed.

Go educate yourself, you clueless fucking leftwing, robot imbecile.

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Congrats! July 27, 2015 at 8:36 pm

Historical facts are not extreme bullshit. Making hysterical claims you can never, ever back up is extreme bullshit.

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Flip July 27, 2015 at 8:39 pm

What’s the matter, GT? That little check GWB paid you off with so he could gut taxes for corporations and the rich didn’t last as long as you thought it would? What a complete failure you are.

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I'm going easy on you July 27, 2015 at 8:51 pm

I was being extremely nice, I thought, considering the level of Fucking ignorance (and damage) the average Democrat voter has perpetuated onto our country.

Rocky July 27, 2015 at 9:49 pm

Yeah, like in the 1990s when we had a balanced budget? That sure sucked. How about the 5.3% unemployment rate today – that sure blows. Not to mention how crappy it is that 25 million people now have health insurance. So please, carry one – dip wad.

Edith Rocky July 27, 2015 at 9:11 pm

Damn it Rocky! You are obsessed with flip!

Rocky July 27, 2015 at 9:37 pm

Were not me.

Rocky July 27, 2015 at 9:36 pm

You don’t like the truth. You don’t like the truth. Livin’ in a bubble of bullshit and granola.

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nitrat July 28, 2015 at 8:32 am

Big majorities in the 21st century GOP = fascism

From Sinclair Lewis’s 1935 novel “It Can’t Happen Here”:
“But he saw too that in America the struggle was befogged by the fact that the worst Fascists were they who disowned the word ‘Fascism’ and preached enslavement to Capitalism under the style of Constitutional and Traditional Native American Liberty.”
That’s Republicans, right?

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Go The Hell Away Bush July 27, 2015 at 9:16 pm

Bush? Pffftttt!! … .Say anything to get him elected. Fuck that SOB. No more Bushs.

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Rocky July 27, 2015 at 9:46 pm

I lived in Florida for a good portion of Jeb’s tenure. So the first two years he road the gravy train that was the Bill Clinton economy, and life was goooooooood!!!!! Then big bro took office, and in late 2001, and early 2002 unemployment in Florida lept from 4.5% to 6.5%. Housing values actually went flat or fell a bit. Well, from 2003 through his departure in 2006 unemployment plummeted solely on the housing bubble. In fact, Jeb’s state was housing bubble headquarters. Within 6 months of his leaving office at the end of 2006, unemployment was heading towards 6% again. Now, on the government side, Jeb spent more than all the previous three governors combined. All them flipped homes, and inflated real estate transactions netted him billions and billions in revenues off title and stamp fees. So, it was – Free college? You got it. New highways? Let’s build ’em. New government programs? Can’t get enough. New government buildings? Refurnish all the state offices in Tallahassee? Sure thing. Jeb’s only personal effort to create jobs outside of real estate flippers in Florida, was an initiative for high-tech jobs in West Palm Beach that netted – like 400 jobs. In a state nearly 8 times the size of South Carolina. On insurance, Jebby and Marco put together a state exchange that Marco got passed, and Jeb signed, just before leaving office. When the federal exchange took over, Jeb and Marco’s exchange, over 5 years, signed up 75 people. His “success” is only outpaced by the absolute disaster his one-legged economy was standing on when the bubble burst. And he wants to be our latex salesman?

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nitrat July 28, 2015 at 8:25 am

That “late 2001, and early 2002 unemployment”, as you remember, was the post 9/11 recession…which George W. Bush, as you remember, fought with ‘stim-u-lus’ in 2002.

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Rocky July 28, 2015 at 10:41 am

Here’s GDP growth for that timeframe.

2001q1 +1.4
2001q2 +5.1
2001q3 +0.0
2001q4 +2.3
2002q1 +5.1
2002q2 +3.8
2002q3 +3.8

Where was that recession again?

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nitrat July 28, 2015 at 8:13 am

WaPo covered Bush’s record yesterday:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/under-jeb-bush-housing-prices-fueled-floridas-boom-then-it-all-went-bust/2015/07/27/3cb40da2-2409-11e5-b72c-2b7d516e1e0e_story.html

Mind numbing that they rate governors who have been out of government for 8 years, since early 2007 and before The Crash with governors who were elected post-2010 and expect the comparisons to mean anything. Why don’t they throw in guys from the 40s and 50s, too? But, this is typical con-servative ‘intellectual’ masturbation.

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