Between now and November 5, 2024, there will be hundreds of polls assessing how former president Donald Trump fares against vice president Kamala Harris – who has been anointed by insiders as the Democratic nominee after an internal coup ousted president Joe Biden from the ticket.
Biden’s struggles against Trump in key battleground states have been evident for months – and his recent debate debacle was the final nail in his (political) coffin.
At the time of Biden’s exit from the race, he trailed Trump in multiple critical battleground states including Arizona (-7.7), Georgia (-4.4), Michigan (-1.8), Nevada (-5), Pennsylvania (-3.8) and Wisconsin (-3.3). All of those are states the incumbent won by narrow margins in 2020.
Will Harris fare better?
We began finding out the answer to that question with the release of an exclusive survey from The Atlanta Journal-Constitution on Sunday afternoon. According to that poll, Trump leads Harris by five percentage points in the key swing state of Georgia – drawing 51 percent of the vote compared to Harris’ 46 percent.
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The Journal-Constitution poll surveyed 1,000 likely Georgia voters “just hours after (Biden) ended his presidential campaign” and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
The good news for Harris? She’s not faring any worse than Biden against Trump. The bad news? She’s not faring any better, either.
According to the last Journal-Constitution survey, released last month, Trump led Biden by five percentage points – although that survey named Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as one of the options for voters to consider.
As I noted over the weekend in reporting on Biden’s ouster, “expect a slew of polls to be fielded in the coming days testing Trump against Harris – and a horde of other Democratic hopefuls.”
Count on this media outlet to parse them and provide our analysis …
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR …
Will Folks is the founding editor of the news outlet you are currently reading. Prior to founding FITSNews, he served as press secretary to the governor of South Carolina and before that he was a bass guitarist and dive bar bouncer. He lives in the Midlands region of the state with his wife and eight children.
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24 comments
Even Trump thinks Kamala is a good candidate.
He gave her $5000 in 2011 to help her re-election bid fur AG.
Republicans are stuck with a clearly demented elderly man, who has to wear diapers and rambles incoherently when the cameras are on him.
Oh look, now the Democrats are suddenly talking about age.
The question will Cackles draw any more people to her rallies than Dementia Joe? Will they have to open the doors to the junior high school gymnasiums and put chairs in the hallway? How much more popular is she now than 4 years ago when she was forecast to only receive 3% of the primary vote before being the first Democratic candidate to drop out of the race? It’s a true rags to riches story, from 3% to the top candidate in just four years. The question now is will she be selected as the Democratic candidate at the convention. The DNC knows she can’t win, but are more afraid to give back that $120,000,000+ in donation money if they don’t use her.
“Oh look, now the Democrats are suddenly talking about age.”
Oh look, now the Republicans are suddenly fine with an old fart as president!
Has Trump fallen down stairs, has he tripped over his own feet, has he locked up on stage or in an interview, has he wandered off not knowing where he was going? Does he read instructions off a teleprompter instead of doing the instructions? Why does he need instructions on the teleprompter? He has gotten shot and walked off on under his own power, he went home the same evening. Trumps age hasn’t changed, neither has Biden’s… but Trump isn’t a walking Alzheimer’s patient from what we’re seeing.
Why haven’t we see or heard Biden since he walked onto AF1 after being “diagnosed with covid”? Why after the diagnosis is he or those around him not wearing masks? Does he have covid?
Trump has nearly fallen down stairs, rambles on about weird shit during his speeches even with the teleprompters, wears diapers, and falls asleep during court cases and even the RNC event for him. Maybe if you weren’t so starry-eyed for Dear Leader you’d realize that president golf cart still needs nap-time at the old retirement home himself.
By the way, the bullet grazed his ear. How would that affect his ability to walk off stage or go home? All he needs is a bandage and stitches at worst. Your boy ain’t a Kryptonian for being whisked off stage by 8-10 secret service men.
Sorry you worship a fat elderly guy who wears diapers. I would be upset about that too.
Kamala just raised an INSANE amount of money and already has half the delegates she needs fur the nomination….in 24hrs.
We good .
Where is it shown that he wears diapers? Biden, from his movements and actions and constant need for assistance, I’d believe he wears a diaper.
Good for her, I hope she is the Democratic nominee. She’s done so well on her record as VP. She was very successful as California’s Attorney General… she really hates those black men smoking marijuana. Locked up everyone she could. Why hasn’t Obama endorsed her? Is he waiting to surprise everyone at the convention when Big Mike throws his name into the ring? I thought Halfricans stuck together.
He gave her another $1,000 more two years later. Ivanka pitched in $2,000. Trump was being investigated in California at the time. Supposedly, she gave away both donations.
What’s your point? Trump has given millions to Democrat and Republican candidates over time – it’s called the cost of doing big business.
So as with the Florida AG Trump was trying to bribe a public official. Seems to have worked in Florida and failed in California. Not a surprise. I guess big business, is what the big criminals call themselves these days. How quickly you have been pulled into the cult.
Trump plans to abandon Ukraine, weaken our ties with NATO, and has made it pretty clear the defense of Taiwan is not a priority. He is either playing right into the hands of Putin and Xi or acting on their behalf. What do you think that says for our strengthened alliances with Japan and the Philippines? Not to mention the work we are doing on alliances with Vietnam and Singapore. Under Trump, we are a partner that cannot be trusted, leaving all these countries little choice but to try to appease the Chinese.
European NATO leaders are already looking for a way to Trump-proof NATO because they don’t think America under Trump is a reliable ally, and neither do I.
If this man is elected, do you want to know when you are going to realize what you have done? When Trump goes back to his idea of the US having a private mercenary military component. When he was President he tried to push through funding for a private group of mercenaries run by Erik Prince, to fight in Afghanistan. That went nowhere. But you can sure bet that had he been successful in establishing that, that army would have been in DC on January 6 and everything would have gone very differently. And now that the SCOTUS has granted immunity for criminal Presidential Acts, that idea is going to come roaring back.
So do you think Russia, China, Iran, North Korea and every other country that hates us is going to be shaking in their boots under the reign of Kamala Harris? She’d be in tears within 5 minutes of being in a room with any of those leaders, and cackling and trying to flirt with them as her primary line of negotiation.
At least she won’t salute any North Korean military officers.
OK, boomer.
It’s really going to hurt trump’s attacks on Kamala, if he’s already given her thousands of dollar to help get her ejected on the past.
I know in your bubble, “black woman bad!”, but most Americans don’t care and would rather have a former prosecutor than a multiple felon/rapist/fraudster.
Kamala bad. I’d vote for Condi Rice in a heart beat.
All you really need to know about Ka”mama”la:
She has the support of Nancy Pelosi
She prosecuted dope smokers while smoking dope
She dated Willie Brown while he was still married, mostly for the advantage it gave her
She LOVVVVES Yellow School buses
She is the “queen” of word salads, able to talk for 5 minutes while saying nothing
She won’t be the candidate after the convention
All you really need to know:
Look at how she gets under The Colonel’s skin. : )
So all we need to know about Trump, is he screwed around with his first wife with his second wife. He screwed around around on his second wife. He screwed around on his third wife and he been accused of sexually assaulting 12 women and admitted to molesting women on tape. He was good friends with and hung out with Epstein.”
As for word salad. How about
“They want you to say what they want you, what they want to have you say. And we’re not gonna let that happen. You’re going to say as you want & you’re going to believe & you’re going to believe in God. You’re gonna believe in God because God is here & God is watching.” or
“If you think about it, you have men, you have women, and you have religion. If you look at it, you have more than the men, you have more than the women. You have such power.” or my favorite.
” I say, ‘What would happen if the boat sank from its weight and you’re in the boat and you have this tremendously powerful battery and the battery’s underwater, and there’s a shark that’s approximately 10 yards over there?’ By the way, a lot of shark attacks lately. Do you notice that? A lot of shark … I watched some guys justifying it today: ‘Well, they weren’t really that angry. They bit off the young lady’s leg because of the fact that they were not hungry, but they misunderstood who she was.’ These people are crazy.”
Yes! The bigots are already losing their shit.
Keep up the racist comments. Making useless old boomers act out like children only makes Kamala more popular with younger voters.
She just ain’t got it . Doesn’t even know where the wall is. Located.
Prior to Biden, pulling out of the race ,Vance asked her for debate and she refused.
She can’t drop out of a bucket so pretty confident she’ll do better than Biden in a debate with Trump .
First she has to secure The Dem party nomination for pres and that race not over by a long shot
Did you see ol’ Enos Clyburn on WIS tonight? He stuttered and stammered about how if she isn’t the candidate by the opening day of the convention all hell is going to break loose on the floor. He’s scared shitless that this may come down to a vote on the floor and she won’t be selected.
Biden has done a great job of leading our country out of the pandemic. Russia and China are on their heels. NATO has grown and is stronger than ever. Inflation is down in the USA. His infrastructure bill and microchip bill will grow our economy while creating thousands of jobs. I could go on….student loan relief, etc.
He wisely bowed out and can enjoy some dang retirement, while letting the next generation move up.
Uh, all major Democrats have endorsed Kamala. The donors are raining money on the DNC now that Kamala is the favorite. Democrat voters are stoked about Kamala.
Republicans, on the other hand, are terrified.
MAGA is very, very unpopular. November will continue to bare that out.
What’s Obama waiting for? Does he know something the others don’t?
Where’s Obama’s endorsement?
Why do you care about Obama so much? If he endorses her, great. If he doesn’t, oh well. He isn’t the Jesus figure of the Democratic party like Te-Felon Don is for the GOP.