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Party ID Trends

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INDEPENDENTS CONTINUE TO CLIMB … 

So Gallup is out with its latest party identification data and independents are once again dominating the nation’s political landscape.  A whopping 47 percent of those surveyed said they were independents, compared to only 27 percent who identified as Democrats and 25 percent who identified as “Republicans.”

The 47 percent figure matches the highest level of support attained by independents since Barack Obama took office in January 2009.  It’s also the eighteenth straight month in which independents have polled at or above 40 percent.

GOP support dropped from 26 to 25 percent, but the news wasn’t all bad for the “other” party of big government.  Democrats saw their support fall from 31 to 26 percent – and saw their support among “leaners” slip as well.

Republicans now hold a 47-42 percent lead among partisans and voters who “lean” toward one party or the other – the first time since July 2012 that they’ve held an edge in this category.

In separate data released last week by Gallup, 40 percent of voters say they have a favorable view of the GOP – compared to 42 percent who say the same about Democrats.  Meanwhile 57 percent view the GOP unfavorably and 54 percent view Democrats unfavorably.

Among independents, 36 percent view the GOP favorably while 35 percent view Democrats favorably.

So … have we achieved mass realization that both political parties are full of it?  No.  But the trend lines are encouraging …

In fact according to a Gallup poll released this week only four out of ten Americans now believe that control of the U.S. Congress matters “a great deal,” compared to 29 percent who say it matters a moderate amount and 30 percent who say it doesn’t matter at all.

Of course Gallup also found that only 36 percent of the country is able to correctly identify which parties control both the House and Senate, so there’s that …

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