SC

Jay Stamper Is Disputing Us …

We published a story earlier this week on Jay Stamper, a Columbia, S.C.-based non-profit director/ businessman who has decided to run against against U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham in 2014 as a Democrat. Wait … as a Democrat? Last time we checked Graham was a Democrat (for all intents and purposes) ……

We published a story earlier this week on Jay Stamper, a Columbia, S.C.-based non-profit director/ businessman who has decided to run against against U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham in 2014 as a Democrat.

Wait … as a Democrat? Last time we checked Graham was a Democrat (for all intents and purposes) … what is this guy thinking?

Anyway, in assessing Stamper’s candidacy we concluded he “is likely doomed to be a sacrificial donkey in 2014 – whether he’s facing Graham or a fiscal conservative Republican who was somehow able to beat Graham in next summer’s GOP primary.”

Stamper does not share our assessment. In fact within hours of our story running he fired off an email responding (in outline form, no less) to what we wrote.

Here’s what Stamper emailed us …

This donkey is not doomed. Here’s why:

1. The general election results of 2008 demonstrate that Republican, Lindsey Graham can be beaten. Bob Conley, a Democrat with no party support, ran against Senator Graham in 2008 and spent only $15,000 in both the primary and general election. Conley received 42.25% of the vote compared to Graham, who spent $6.6 million for 57.52% of the vote.

2. In 2010, despite Democrats suffering massive defeats nationwide, low African American turnout, and votes being siphoned off by a Green Party candidate, Democrat Vincent Sheheen won 47% of the vote to Republican Nikki Haley’s 51.4%. The map below indicates counties won by Democrats in 2010. It is obvious that the red tide is ebbing in South Carolina.

3. South Carolina is simply not as conservative as most people assume. The 2012 Presidential election results show that South Carolina is the 19th most Republican state in country.

4. With only two exceptions, Democrats have held state-wide elected office in South Carolina every single year since 1886!

5. 2014 is shaping up to be “The Year of the Democrat” in South Carolina because:

a. Vincent Sheheen, a popular Democrat, has indicated that he may run for governor against Republican candidate Nikki Haley, the unpopular Republican governor. His popularity will help generate support for other Democrats running down ballot.

b. Stephen Benjamin, the popular African American candidate, and mayor of Columbia, has indicated his intention to run for Governor. His candidacy will help to increase African American turnout, and give all other Democrats on the ticket a boost in the polls.

c. The 2014 election year is highly unusual. Both of South Carolina’s Senate seats are vacant. This is likely to attract well-known, top-tier Democratic challengers across the state which will aid in increased voter turnout.

6. Senator Graham’s popularity has decreased throughout South Carolina because he has alienated much of his tea party base and libertarian crowd on issues such as immigration, government bailouts, and federal confirmations.

7. State Sen. Lee Bright may upset Lindsey Graham and win the Republican nomination.

8. South Carolinians might see a three way Senate race if a tea party conservative or independent runs on the ballot. A significant number of votes diverted from Graham means that Jay can win with well under 50% of the vote.

Hmmmm …

What do you think? Vote in our poll and post your thoughts in our comments section below …

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26 comments

Smirks March 27, 2013 at 9:04 am

Wow, this post just made me realize something. I’ve felt that since Campbell, each governor ends up being worse than the last one. I didn’t think anything could top Sanford until we got Haley, and then I didn’t think anything could top Haley, but the notion of Governor Benjamin might reach the level of awfulness that could top even Trikki Nikki herself.

Benji will have to try hard, though. After all, doesn’t the governor have someone else drive for them?

Reply
Smirks March 27, 2013 at 9:04 am

Wow, this post just made me realize something. I’ve felt that since Campbell, each governor ends up being worse than the last one. I didn’t think anything could top Sanford until we got Haley, and then I didn’t think anything could top Haley, but the notion of Governor Benjamin might reach the level of awfulness that could top even Trikki Nikki herself.

Benji will have to try hard, though. After all, doesn’t the governor have someone else drive for them?

Reply
Leonard March 27, 2013 at 9:11 am

He is a fool. He should look again at the 2010 AA turnout for Sheheen. It was higher than in any other non presidential year. Maybe jay has a way to increase it even more but he better not count on them coming out like that for an unknown like him.

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Leonard March 27, 2013 at 9:11 am

He is a fool. He should look again at the 2010 AA turnout for Sheheen. It was higher than in any other non presidential year. Maybe jay has a way to increase it even more but he better not count on them coming out like that for an unknown like him.

Reply
vicupstate March 27, 2013 at 9:34 am

If a Democrat can get elected to the senate from Alaska and Indiana and North Dakota, it can happen here too.

If Graham loses in the primary, the Democrat starts at 46 percent no matter what. They only need 3 or 4 percent more.

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vicupstate March 27, 2013 at 9:34 am

If a Democrat can get elected to the senate from Alaska and Indiana and North Dakota, it can happen here too.

If Graham loses in the primary, the Democrat starts at 46 percent no matter what. They only need 3 or 4 percent more.

Reply
jimlewisowb March 27, 2013 at 10:13 am

Mr. Stamper, Mr. Stamper, oh Mr. Stamper

Do believe you forgot # 9

9. According to Farmer’s Almanac on election day 2014, the moon and the sun will be in perfect alignment allowing for the Sun’s rays to be bounced off the Moon’s surface directly up the asses of all Tea Party Republicans resulting in temporary brain dysfunction(can’t vote) thereby guarantying Democrats victory.

By the way are you related to the Stamper fellow who saved the World from Armageddon a few years back when he blew up that comet. If you are, say hello to his daughter. She is cute.

Reply
jimlewisowb March 27, 2013 at 10:13 am

Mr. Stamper, Mr. Stamper, oh Mr. Stamper

Do believe you forgot # 9

9. According to Farmer’s Almanac on election day 2014, the moon and the sun will be in perfect alignment allowing for the Sun’s rays to be bounced off the Moon’s surface directly up the asses of all Tea Party Republicans resulting in temporary brain dysfunction(can’t vote) thereby guarantying Democrats victory.

By the way are you related to the Stamper fellow who saved the World from Armageddon a few years back when he blew up that comet. If you are, say hello to his daughter. She is cute.

Reply
Billy K Mulligan March 27, 2013 at 10:25 am

Another potential is that Republicans who do go to the polls to vote against the Dem candidate for Governor may just vote for Tim Scott and conveniently forget to vote for LOG.

Reply
Billy K Mulligan March 27, 2013 at 10:25 am

Another potential is that Republicans who do go to the polls to vote against the Dem candidate for Governor may just vote for Tim Scott and conveniently forget to vote for LOG.

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Miss Mayberry March 27, 2013 at 10:31 am

Well, bless his heart! I think he could be a great choice to replace that idiot man.

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Miss Mayberry March 27, 2013 at 10:31 am

Well, bless his heart! I think he could be a great choice to replace that idiot man.

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Alvin Greene March 27, 2013 at 11:08 am

Why is there no mention of me?

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TontoBubbaGoldstein March 27, 2013 at 6:25 pm

Alvin, your endorsement is prolly 40% of the vote, right there. Know what I mean?

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Alvin Greene March 27, 2013 at 11:08 am

Why is there no mention of me?

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TontoBubbaGoldstein March 27, 2013 at 6:25 pm

Alvin, your endorsement is prolly 40% of the vote, right there. Know what I mean?

Reply
Medium Size T March 27, 2013 at 3:57 pm

Posting under a different moniker here lest I be thought the fool.
How are both Senate seats vacant? Actually, both are held by Republicans, one of whom is running for re-election. But isn’t Scott finishing Demint’s term?

Reply
Crooner March 27, 2013 at 3:59 pm

Well, that didn’t work out the way I thought it would!

Reply
Medium Size T March 27, 2013 at 3:57 pm

Posting under a different moniker here lest I be thought the fool.
How are both Senate seats vacant? Actually, both are held by Republicans, one of whom is running for re-election. But isn’t Scott finishing Demint’s term?

Reply
Crooner March 27, 2013 at 3:59 pm

Well, that didn’t work out the way I thought it would!

Reply
Henry March 27, 2013 at 10:21 pm

Actually a pretty well-reasoned list to support Mr. Stamper’s premise, except for the fact that he seems to (unknowingly?) suggest that Vincent Sheheen and Steve Benjamin can both be the Democratic nominee for governor in 2014 at the same time.

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Henry March 27, 2013 at 10:21 pm

Actually a pretty well-reasoned list to support Mr. Stamper’s premise, except for the fact that he seems to (unknowingly?) suggest that Vincent Sheheen and Steve Benjamin can both be the Democratic nominee for governor in 2014 at the same time.

Reply
GinnyDorlan May 22, 2013 at 10:36 pm

Probably not this one. Big business, Roman Catholic (probably pro-life all the way) and generally, looks like a pseudo-democrat. I’d be wary.

Reply
GinnyDorlan May 22, 2013 at 10:36 pm

Probably not this one. Big business, Roman Catholic (probably pro-life all the way) and generally, looks like a pseudo-democrat. I’d be wary.

Reply

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