SC

SC-1: Did A Cell Phone Poll Get It Right?

Earlier today we tweeted the results of a cell phone poll of voters in South Carolina’s first congressional district – where former S.C. Gov. Mark Sanford is locked in a ferocious battle with former six-figure taxpayer-funded bureaucrat Elizabeth Colbert-Busch (sister of comedian Stephen Colbert). This cell phone poll – while…

Earlier today we tweeted the results of a cell phone poll of voters in South Carolina’s first congressional district – where former S.C. Gov. Mark Sanford is locked in a ferocious battle with former six-figure taxpayer-funded bureaucrat Elizabeth Colbert-Busch (sister of comedian Stephen Colbert).

This cell phone poll – while obviously not scientific – showed Colbert-Busch with an incredibly small lead over Sanford as the race’s final week winds down.

How small? Less than half of a percent …

Oddly enough, this poll – which was really nothing more than a marketing ploy for the advertising firm that conducted it – appears to have nailed the current margin in this race. How do we know this? Because Democratic sources tell FITS that a more traditional poll conducted by an independent organization on the same night – April 30 – revealed a roughly identical margin.

Let’s check the numbers …

The cell phone poll, conducted by ccAdvertising, had Colbert-Busch leading Sanford by a 40-39.5 percent margin – with more than 20 percent of respondents falling into the “undecided” camp. Obviously that high undecided total reflects the fact that many of those surveyed aren’t likely voters – i.e. they haven’t been following the race.

The traditional poll, which surveyed only likely voters, had Colbert Busch leading Sanford by a 48-47 percent margin with only 5 percent of respondents undecided.

Different audiences, same margin … which strikes us as pretty compelling evidence that any way you slice it, this race is going to go down to the wire.

Who do you like in the South Carolina first district? Vote in our poll and post your thoughts in our comments section below!

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69 comments

Jan May 1, 2013 at 7:41 pm

Only an idiot would vote for Sanford. But SC has plenty of idiots.

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thin blue line May 1, 2013 at 7:47 pm

10-4…..!!!!!

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jimlewisowb May 1, 2013 at 8:29 pm

Yep
Sanford 57%
ECB 43%

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Jan May 1, 2013 at 7:41 pm

Only an idiot would vote for Sanford. But SC has plenty of idiots.

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thin blue line May 1, 2013 at 7:47 pm

10-4…..!!!!!

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jimlewisowb May 1, 2013 at 8:29 pm

Yep
Sanford 57%
ECB 43%

Reply
Amos 'n Andy May 1, 2013 at 7:56 pm

We tell all the negroes at the Piggly Wiggly about this election, and fudge a bit to get them to go vote.

We say ECB is like Elizabeth Warren, 1/30th negroe.

‘Dey all ‘gwine vote fo’ da hebby ledy wub the big, big hair-do in de blue druss, an’ not de’ white man wub the girl fren’ frum Brazil.

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Jan May 1, 2013 at 8:08 pm

You do realize you are not posting to your KKK member site, right?

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Amos 'n Andy May 1, 2013 at 9:29 pm

The most KKK site we ever seen. jew-haters, negroe-haters, yankee-haters, mexican-haters, arab-haters, abortion-haters, fag-haters, government-haters. Feels good, like it’s 1930 around here.

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Chicora May 1, 2013 at 10:28 pm

Well Amos….Catfish here…..believe ya done nailed it!

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Amos 'n Andy May 1, 2013 at 7:56 pm

We tell all the negroes at the Piggly Wiggly about this election, and fudge a bit to get them to go vote.

We say ECB is like Elizabeth Warren, 1/30th negroe.

‘Dey all ‘gwine vote fo’ da hebby ledy wub the big, big hair-do in de blue druss, an’ not de’ white man wub the girl fren’ frum Brazil.

Reply
Jan May 1, 2013 at 8:08 pm

You do realize you are not posting to your KKK member site, right?

Reply
Amos 'n Andy May 1, 2013 at 9:29 pm

The most KKK site we ever seen. jew-haters, negroe-haters, yankee-haters, mexican-haters, arab-haters, abortion-haters, fag-haters, government-haters. Feels good, like it’s 1930 around here.

Reply
Chicora May 1, 2013 at 10:28 pm

Well Amos….Catfish here…..believe ya done nailed it!

Reply
Mike at the Beach May 1, 2013 at 8:11 pm

If (and I mean IF) polling is reflecting a sub-1% margin, that means Sanford will likely win by several points in this district… amazing.

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Mike at the Beach May 1, 2013 at 8:11 pm

If (and I mean IF) polling is reflecting a sub-1% margin, that means Sanford will likely win by several points in this district… amazing.

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vicupstate May 1, 2013 at 8:12 pm

So who is the traditional pollster? Give us the number of participants, margin of error and pollster’s name.

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vicupstate May 1, 2013 at 8:12 pm

So who is the traditional pollster? Give us the number of participants, margin of error and pollster’s name.

Reply
GrandTango May 1, 2013 at 8:25 pm

Really, because both candidates are so repulsive, there is no way to lose, if you are a South Carolinian.
If he wins, it is bad, bad news for democrats, when they cannot even beat the worst the GOP trots out, in a weird special election, w/ a well-funded, popular female, whose brother is a liberal deity. It proves maybe people are finally figuring out what a Total Failure Obama and the democrat party is.
If she wins, the SCGOP is rid of an embarrassing albatross and a Conservative, with some honor attached to his name, not shame, will take the seat when it comes back up.
Either way: there’s something god to come from it.

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TontoBubbaGoldstein May 1, 2013 at 9:15 pm

That was concise, well thought out, and reasonably well spelled. CAPSLOCK was not overused and the words “dumb@$$” and “Liberal-Tarian” were nowhere to be found.

Who the hell are you?

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shifty henry May 1, 2013 at 10:38 pm

She says “thanks” for the compliments, and is proud that she is doing so much better. She is surprised that folks will actually READ HER POSTS when she writes like this —- interesting, huh? (even I read them now!)

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Craig May 1, 2013 at 8:35 pm

Sanford’s got this because he almost always out performs the numbers in polls. Especially this year with people who are gun shy about admitting that are voting for him.

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Craig May 1, 2013 at 8:35 pm

Sanford’s got this because he almost always out performs the numbers in polls. Especially this year with people who are gun shy about admitting that are voting for him.

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we need a do-over May 1, 2013 at 8:37 pm

And the winner is: THE DEVIL YOU KNOW!!!!

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we need a do-over May 1, 2013 at 8:37 pm

And the winner is: THE DEVIL YOU KNOW!!!!

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wd May 1, 2013 at 8:38 pm

Push Politics all the way!!!!

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wd May 1, 2013 at 8:38 pm

Push Politics all the way!!!!

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MH May 1, 2013 at 8:43 pm

Conservatives are going to do one of these: 1. Abstain (rather than vote Sanford) 2. vote Sanford to keep SC1 Republican 3. vote Busch = give her the remainder of Scott’s term and use this time to prepare solid candidate to re-take the seat in the regular election. Maybe 1 and 3 are the reasons the polls show it so close – or leaning her way.

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Kuyperdog May 1, 2013 at 10:39 pm

We will do 1 or 3!
By May 8th, that SLIMY taste we’ve had in our mouths for the last month will be gone forever!

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MH May 1, 2013 at 8:43 pm

Conservatives are going to do one of these: 1. Abstain (rather than vote Sanford) 2. vote Sanford to keep SC1 Republican 3. vote Busch = give her the remainder of Scott’s term and use this time to prepare solid candidate to re-take the seat in the regular election. Maybe 1 and 3 are the reasons the polls show it so close – or leaning her way.

Reply
Kuyperdog May 1, 2013 at 10:39 pm

We will do 1 or 3!
By May 8th, that SLIMY taste we’ve had in our mouths for the last month will be gone forever!

Reply
Yawn May 1, 2013 at 8:45 pm

Hmmm – Only 60% of respondents in the ccadvertising “poll” are registered voters. That’s 45 seconds of my life I will never get back, Will.

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Yawn May 1, 2013 at 8:45 pm

Hmmm – Only 60% of respondents in the ccadvertising “poll” are registered voters. That’s 45 seconds of my life I will never get back, Will.

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TontoBubbaGoldstein May 1, 2013 at 9:08 pm

Sanford wins by 4%.

When it happens, I may change my handle to Nate “High-oh” Silver, since changing handles is all the rage now.

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TontoBubbaGoldstein May 1, 2013 at 9:08 pm

Sanford wins by 4%.

When it happens, I may change my handle to Nate “High-oh” Silver, since changing handles is all the rage now.

Reply
CNSYD May 1, 2013 at 9:18 pm

Glad I read this. I learned that ECB is a 6 figure taxpayer funded bureaucrat and she is Stephen Colbert’s sister. Wow, I never heard that before.

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Jan May 1, 2013 at 11:49 pm

What was Sanfords pay during all the years the taxpayers supported him? How about his free health care and free place to live? Why are all these so called conservatives always looking for a government job for life and government health care?

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lowcorider May 2, 2013 at 8:22 am

How about the millions he got from the federal government to not develope his “farm” which would never be developed in the first place.

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CNSYD May 1, 2013 at 9:18 pm

Glad I read this. I learned that ECB is a 6 figure taxpayer funded bureaucrat and she is Stephen Colbert’s sister. Wow, I never heard that before.

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Jan May 1, 2013 at 11:49 pm

What was Sanfords pay during all the years the taxpayers supported him? How about his free health care and free place to live? Why are all these so called conservatives always looking for a government job for life and government health care?

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Lowcorider May 2, 2013 at 8:22 am

How about the millions he got from the federal government to not develope his “farm” which would never be developed in the first place.

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sad but true May 1, 2013 at 9:20 pm

If Sanford wins,Larry Flynt was right….”Sanford demanded forgiveness while brazenly hugging his mistress at campaign events”……..”.He’s proving that marriage,family and honesty is less important than sex”……..I’m thinking Larry Flynt could get elected in District one if there was an R after his name. Gotta love those family values Christians.

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scsmartie May 2, 2013 at 10:52 am

Yep….at the tax payers expense, what a hot ass mess. Good ole Markie, I’ll pay these ethics fines for using tax payer money to see my woman on the side, but I’m not admitting guilt. Yet his supporters have posted these signs around Charleston with the saying “he save’s tax dollars”, there is something seriously wrong with these people, if they plan to re-elect Markie. Paying the fine tells me he’s not only a cheater (which I could care less about), but mostly he’s a great liar. And don’t we have enough lying politicians in SC. Let’s get rid of these bums, not re-elect them.

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sad but true May 1, 2013 at 9:20 pm

If Sanford wins,Larry Flynt was right….”Sanford demanded forgiveness while brazenly hugging his mistress at campaign events”……..”.He’s proving that marriage,family and honesty is less important than sex”……..I’m thinking Larry Flynt could get elected in District one if there was an R after his name. Gotta love those family values Christians.

Reply
scsmartie May 2, 2013 at 10:52 am

Yep….at the tax payers expense, what a hot ass mess. Good ole Markie, I’ll pay these ethics fines for using tax payer money to see my woman on the side, but I’m not admitting guilt. Yet his supporters have posted these signs around Charleston with the saying “he save’s tax dollars”, there is something seriously wrong with these people, if they plan to re-elect Markie. Paying the fine tells me he’s not only a cheater (which I could care less about), but mostly he’s a great liar. And don’t we have enough lying politicians in SC. Let’s get rid of these bums, not re-elect them.

Reply
Kuyperdog May 1, 2013 at 10:34 pm

If Sanford wins, he should make Larry Flynt his Chief of Staff- and what a staff that would be!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
You disgust me Mark! I will NEVER vote for you-Take a Hike!

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Kuyperdog May 1, 2013 at 10:34 pm

If Sanford wins, he should make Larry Flynt his Chief of Staff- and what a staff that would be!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
You disgust me Mark! I will NEVER vote for you-Take a Hike!

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pigmalelion May 1, 2013 at 11:22 pm

I am growing accustomed to her face…uh oh…I may be tilting…maybe a blue dog, even one that is pink inside, is better than a laughing stock, at least for the time being, and keep the powder dry for Grooms in ’14.

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pigmalelion May 1, 2013 at 11:22 pm

I am growing accustomed to her face…uh oh…I may be tilting…maybe a blue dog, even one that is pink inside, is better than a laughing stock, at least for the time being, and keep the powder dry for Grooms in ’14.

Reply
Martha Guzman May 2, 2013 at 6:56 am

Did Sanford follow Clinton’s “Don’t Ask Don’t Tell” policy when he was out “hiking” for his health?

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pesty bugs May 2, 2013 at 9:25 am

No,he followed his dick all the way to Argentina on your dime.

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Mguzman May 2, 2013 at 6:56 am

Did Sanford follow Clinton’s “Don’t Ask Don’t Tell” policy when he was out “hiking” for his health?

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pesty bugs May 2, 2013 at 9:25 am

No,he followed his dick all the way to Argentina on your dime.

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lowcorider May 2, 2013 at 8:25 am

Mark has a Ted Kennedy problem.

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Lowcorider May 2, 2013 at 8:25 am

Mark has a Ted Kennedy problem.

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John Duncan May 2, 2013 at 9:15 am

As more people learn the fact that this Democrat is a radical, Pelosi supported stooge who is backed by unions that want to damage Charleston and the Lowcountry by relocating jobs to Seattle they will continue to reject her!

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Grandmother May 2, 2013 at 10:53 am

You keep repeating the same old, same old. None of it is true but I guess you can ride that dead horse all you want.

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Jan May 2, 2013 at 11:38 am

Mark Sanford is a proven liar, cheater, and thief. If you buy into more of his lies you are out of your mind.

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Marla May 2, 2013 at 1:16 pm

John, I ran into a woman at the gym last night that was having a problem. She wants to breast feed her baby,but didn’t know how. Which breast to use? How to get the milk to the right temp? Does she have to heat her breast? Does she have to sterilize her nipples? After the feeding does she have to put her breast in the fridge? If she eats a Hershey bar will the milk be chocclate?…..I didn’t have an answer,but I told her I would ask you,because John Duncan knows everything.He’s my hero.

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John Duncan May 2, 2013 at 9:15 am

As more people learn the fact that this Democrat is a radical, pro-choice Pelosi supported stooge who is backed by unions that want to damage Charleston and the Lowcountry by relocating jobs to Seattle they will continue to reject her!

Reply
Grandmother May 2, 2013 at 10:53 am

You keep repeating the same old, same old. None of it is true but I guess you can ride that dead horse all you want.

Reply
Jan May 2, 2013 at 11:38 am

Mark Sanford is a proven liar, cheater, and thief. If you buy into more of his lies you are out of your mind.

Reply
Marla May 2, 2013 at 1:16 pm

John, I ran into a woman at the gym last night that was having a problem. She wants to breast feed her baby,but didn’t know how. Which breast to use? How to get the milk to the right temp? Does she have to heat her breast? Does she have to sterilize her nipples? After the feeding does she have to put her breast in the fridge? If she eats a Hershey bar will the milk be chocclate?…..I didn’t have an answer,but I told her I would ask you,because John Duncan knows everything.He’s my hero.

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South of Broad Daze May 2, 2013 at 9:17 am

Sanford is a viper in the bosom of the body politic. He needs to be excised and repudiated once and for all.

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South of Broad Daze May 2, 2013 at 9:17 am

Sanford is a viper in the bosom of the body politic. He needs to be excised and repudiated once and for all.

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darksied calling May 2, 2013 at 3:04 pm

if the cell poll and the dem poll are to be believed then ECB is tanking faster than a paperboat in Charleston harbor. last week the post/courier reported that ECB had a 10%+ led now its down to half a point?? checking tv numbers the congressnl debate drew better than expected viewers so one may can conclude that ECB peaked to early. if that does happen and sanford goes back in to congress we wont need to watch house of cards anymore.

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darksied calling May 2, 2013 at 3:04 pm

if the cell poll and the dem poll are to be believed then ECB is tanking faster than a paperboat in Charleston harbor. last week the post/courier reported that ECB had a 10%+ led now its down to half a point?? checking tv numbers the congressnl debate drew better than expected viewers so one may can conclude that ECB peaked to early. if that does happen and sanford goes back in to congress we wont need to watch house of cards anymore.

Reply

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