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National Football League (NFL) draft expert Mel Kiper, Jr. predicts Texas A&M quarterback Johnny Manziel will be selected with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2014 NFL draft in April.

Kiper’s first mock draft shows the 2012 Heisman Trophy winner being taken first overall by the Houston Texans, who saw inconsistent play last year from starter Matt Schaub and backup Case Keenum.

Another Aggie, offensive tackle Jake Matthews, is No. 2 (St. Louis Rams) on Kiper’s list – followed by University of South Carolina defensive end Jadeveon Clowney at No. 3 (Jacksonville Jaguars) and Central Florida quarterback Blake Bortles at No. 4 (Cleveland Browns).

Clemson University wide receiver Sammy Watkins is listed at No. 5 (Oakland Raiders).

Frankly we’re surprised to see Manziel at No. 1.  Don’t get us wrong: He was the most instinctive, electrifying player in all of college football two years running – but can he duplicate that sort of success at the next level?

And more importantly does he have an NFL-caliber arm?

And what about all those questions about his maturity?

Hmmmm … maybe our erstwhile columnist Brant Branham (a huge Johnny Football fan) will weigh in on Kiper’s first mock draft, but we think Johnny Football at No. 1 is a stretch.