DGA Poll: Sheheen V. Haley A “Dead Heat”
A poll conducted on behalf of the Democratic Governors Association shows incumbent “Republican” Nikki Haley remains vulnerable in a 2014 general election race against Democrat Vincent Sheheen.
According to the survey – conducted last week by Clarity Campaign Labs – Haley leads Sheheen 44-40 percent with 16 percent of the electorate undecided.
“Governor Haley’s approval ratings are tepid,” the pollsters note in a memo obtained by FITS. “Her favorable rating in the state is 40 percent and her unfavorable rating is 35 percent.”
Haley’s troubles extend to the staunchly conservative Upstate region – where her approval rating is only 46 percent. She is also struggling among independent voters – who prefer Sheheen by a 44-30 percent margin.
“The undecided vote is fertile ground for Sheheen, particularly given that undecideds typically break toward the challenger,” the pollsters note. “With Haley so significantly below 50 percent on the head-to-head ballot and suffering from persistently low approval ratings, even in Republican strongholds, the sitting governor is deeply vulnerable in 2014.”
Well … assuming Sheheen is able to offer an alternative (something he has thus far failed to do).
So far both candidates have embraced government growth, crony capitalism, expanded dependency, status quo education policies and watered-down, inadequate structural reforms.
The only real difference between them? Haley has $3 million in the bank compared to Sheheen’s $1 million – a campaign cash advantage which should enable her to make up some of the ground she’s lost among independent voters. Also, expect national “Republicans” – eager to showcase female, minority candidates on the national stage – to spend big on Haley.
Haley enjoyed a 21-point lead over Sheheen heading into the 2010 general election – but managed to win by just 4 percent in one of the most heavily “Republican” years on record.