Obama Has Got This May 7, 2008
Posted by fitsnews in : Presidential Politics , trackback
BUT HE’S STILL GETTING ON OUR LAST NERVE WITH HIS HAPPY TALK
FITSNews - May 7, 2008 - Like a python tightening its grip, Illinois Senator Barack Obama continued to take air out of Hillary Clinton’s campaign yesterday by winning North Carolina convincingly and doing better than expected in Indiana. Obama picked up a net gain of nine delegates, making his nomination that much more “inevitabler” and making the complicated delegate math increasingly “complicated-er” for the former First Lady.
In other news, Obama continues to annoy the hell out of us with all his generic “change blah blah” talk. From the Washington Post:
“We have seen that it’s possible to overcome the politics of division and distraction, that it’s possible to overcome the same old negative attacks that are always about scoring points and never about solving our problems,” Obama said at a victory rally in Raleigh, North Carolina.
Awwww … of course it is. Now here’s what was going through his head when he said that:
“That b*tch tried to take me out, yo. But thank God for all you black brothers and sisters here in North Carolina!”
We know dipshits like Rush Limbaugh want us to keep sowing division and what not in the Democratic race, but seriously people, Obama has got this.
Comments»
I don’t think Hillary has any illusions of tying it up delegate wise. The problem for Obama is that he really can’t sow it up either without superdelegates. So it makes total sense for Hillary to fight it out through the last few primaries (where she is predicted to sweep, by the way) and see if she can take the lead in the popular vote.
If she can take the popular vote, she has a strong argument for why the supers should back her. If the Dems nomination process was not so Byzantine (e.g. there were just a few take it or leave it states), she would have wrapped it up months ago.
And if you need some relief from his fluff about hope and change, just tune into Michelle O. for a while. Malkin accurately describes her as the Queen of the Grievance-Mongers.
I haven’t seen any Oregon polls, but wouldn’t it demographically favor Obama? He beat her 67-31 in nearby Washington in February.
Even if Clinton sweeps every primary by a 60-40 margin from here on out, she’s still got to convince 75% of the remaining supers to join her. There’s just no way unless Obama kills someone or is arrested for heroin possesion.
I forgot about Oregon. I don’t know how the polls are there. I was thinking of West Virginia and Kentucky, where she is polling well.
If she catches BHO in the popular vote (I don’t think it is likely, but it is possible) then I personally think she has the stronger argument to the SD’s - winning all the key states and having more people voting for her. BHO would only be able to point to his lead in pledged delegates. But he is only ahead there because of the bass ackwards way the Democratic primaries (an oxymoron) are structured. Look at Texas. She won the vote, but do to the weird caucus portion he got more delegates.
I think the SD’s will stick with BHO no matter what out of fear of the implosion in the party if they don’t side with him. But there is no compelling reason (since party unity and finances have not stopped her to this point) for her to pull out until she knows how the popular vote will end up.
I also would not discount the huge BHO scandal scenario you mentioned. The guy is a blank slate. Who knows what may come out about him. I also don’t think it has to be as serious an offense as the ones you mention. What if video is found of Obama nodding in agreement to one of those hate-filled sermons?
CL- I agree with you that the SD’s will stick with Obama no matter what to keep the party together, and that Clinton will probably hang in until Obama’s got the delegate count signed sealed and delivered. I don’t agree that his head-nodding would be enough to stop his nomination, but I imagine it would hurt him in November. If you’re interested, the Slate website is running an “Obama Doomsday Scenarios” contest where readers send in what would have to happen for Clinton to win the nomination. They’re supposedly posting it later in the week (which I guess means tomorrow), so I’ll throw it up here when it’s posted.
Also, I thought that John McCain had declared that anyone who referred to Obama’s middle name in any way was to be cast out of the Republican Party and wander in darkness for the rest of their years. Might want to watch out.
Darn this political correctness. I thought I was being considerate by not calling him BO. The campaign needs to compile a list of approved identifiers.
Two relevant links:
The Slate “Obama Doomsday Scenario Contest”, as promised; you’ll notice the doomsday scenario you mentioned is on the list: http://www.slate.com/blogs/blogs/trailhead/archive/2008/05/08/obama-doomsday-scenario-contest-results.aspx
The Onion on things people are allowed to say in the campaign: http://www.theonion.com/content/news_briefs/number_of_acceptable_things
[...] – May 19, 2008 - In another blow to the Billary campaign, presidential candidate Barack Obama held a political rally with 75,000 in attendance yesterday in Oregon two days before that [...]